DHF Dream Team Captains – Round 11

Approaching the mid point of the home and away season, and jesus is it going fast.

You should have a few upgrades in the bag now, giving you more legit captain options than were on offer at the start of the year. And with many trading GABLETT out with his injury this year, you have to think a little longer and harder (sometimes resulting in coaches ending up with the likes of captain Gibbs (85) last wk – not one of my recommendations). Well the GABLETT is under another injury cloud, however despite missing training the Cats are saying he should play this week.

Round 10 saw a typical array of quality scores from the DHF score predictor:

Gary Ablett (125 scored, 116.8 predicted)
Leigh Montagna (my boyee 146 scored, 112.9 predicted)
Joel Corey (pulled out)
Lenny Hayes (119 scored, 110.8 predicted)

The DHF Score Predictor Captain is at 117
My personal captain average is back up to 119 (Montag doin his thing)

After a big week from Montagna I am back to just 1 point behind in the GABLETT test (he is averaging 120).

Alright, game time for round 11:

Richmond vs Western Bulldogs (Etihad)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Western Bulldogs
	Matthew Boyd	98	89	97	100	96.1
	Daniel Cross	86	105	87	90	91.9

Richmond
	Shane Tuck	103	96	104	93	98.8
	Joel Bowden	77	92	102	93	91.0
	Brett Deledio	100	81	84	93	89.4

DHF Tip: Shane Tuck I spose, but as a general rule if the predicted score isn’t above 100 then you avoid avoid avoid.

Noth Melbourne vs St Kilda (Etihad)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
North Melbourne
Absolutely fuckin NOTHING!

St Kilda
	Leigh Montagna	129	87	124	117	114.2
	Lenny Hayes	127	70	129	110	109.0
	Brendon Goddard	113	84	106	108	102.8
	Nick Riewoldt	106	100	104	103	103.3

DHF Tip: Some big boys here for the Saints, but my man Leigh Montagna is head and shoulders above the rest.

Port Adelaide vs Fremantle (AAMI)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Port Adelaide
	Kane Cornes	88	120	74	94	94.0

Fremantle
	Matthew Pavlich	103	97	94	93	96.7

DHF Tip: The Pav was doing everything right last week, looking like he was all the way back from his early season slump, that is until the second half struck he turned into the invisible man. The question of consistency continues to make him a big risk.

Brisbane vs Carlton (GABBA)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Brisbane
Struggling to offer much

Carlton
	Bryce Gibbs	108	105	86	109	101.9
	Marc Murphy	114	116	66	105	100.3
	Chris Judd	101	104	72	100	94.3

DHF Tip: Gibbsy let many people down last week, taking a punt on the fact that the Eagles give up truck loads of DT points.  Once again he is looking the goods, although it might be a bit risky taking him on up at the GABBA.

Essendon vs Adelaide (Etithad)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Essendon
	Brent Stanton	88	103	93	97	95.3

Adelaide
	Scott Thompson	94	114	89	94	97.7
	Tyson Edwards	98	89	69	95	87.8

DHF Tip: Big game for both clubs trying to make their way to finals footy this year.  No big stand outs, and with the Crows ability to shut clubs down it would be hard to go with Stanton this week.

Hawthorn vs Sydney (MCG)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Hawthorn
	Brad Sewell	116	50	126	115	101.7
	Sam Mitchell	107	62	95	100	91.1

Sydney
Screw the Swannies, really is anyone going with Jude Bolton as their el-cap-i-tano?

DHF Tip: Avoid the Swans game..as usual.

West Coast Eagles vs Geelong (Subiaco)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
West Coast
	Dean Cox	108	99	102	111	105.0

Geelong
	Gary Ablett	121	120	112	121	118.4
	Jimmy Bartel	108	115	96	116	108.8
	Steve Johnson	124	111	103	111	112.3
	Joel Selwood	119	80	91	104	98.5

DHF Tip: The big cox has been copping it left and right for his form over the last few weeks, but the best thing about a true DT star is they still manage to get their scores when they aren’t playing their best footy. But this game is all Geelong, with GABLETT the clear standout – consider his ankle injury, but also consider his 147 last time these teams met.

Melbourne vs Collingwood (MCG)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Melbourne
Cale Morton will be a DT star, but still scarey to use as captain right now.

Collingwood
	Dane Swan	122	106	131	118	119.2
	Scott Pendlebury	113	63	102	107	96.3
	Leon Davis	97	85	97	105	96.1

DHF Tip: Dane Swan could put the disposals record under pressure this week, cannot go past him, absolute DT GUN!

DHF Top 4 Captains for Round 11 (brought to you from by the new revolutionary Scoring Predictor):

Dane Swan 119.2
Gary Ablett 118.4
Leigh Montagna 114.2
Steve Johnson 112.3
Lenny Hayes 110.8

DHF Captain Round 11 – Gary Ablett
My personal Captain Round 11 – My new boyee again, Leigh Montagna – lock and load!

Who are you going with this week?