DHF Dream Team Captains – Round 12

The nightmare that is the split week is upon us.  This leaves everyone with some serious captain choices, do you take someone in the first week (which confines you to the likes of Carlton, St Kilda and Big Cox) to ensure there are no injury worries, or do you lock in a second round gun from the Cats or the Pies and sweat out next week.  My tip, choose your best player first, and have a vice from this week to cover your basis.

Quickly wrapping up last week, the DHF score predictor had another solid round with 3/4 knocking out the ton (Stevie J’s disgraceful performance has already been discussed in length):

Dane Swan (133 scored, 119.2 predicted)
Gary Ablett (155 scored, 118.4 predicted)
Leigh Montagna (100 scored, 114.2 predicted)
Steve Johnson (62 scored…WTF!!!, 112.3 predicted)

The DHF Score Predictor Captain average is at 118
My personal captain average has dipped to 117

The GABLETT test however is starting to get out of control, with Gaz average up to an amazing 124!

Carlton vs St Kilda (Etihad)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Carlton
	Bryce Gibbs	95	95	119	107	104.1
	Marc Murphy	105	74	105	104	97.1
	Chris Judd	100	63	94	100	89.3

St Kilda
	Leigh Montagna	125	76	118	115	108.6
	Lenny Hayes	123	93	124	111	112.7
	Brednan Goddard	95	85	83	102	91.3
	Nick Riewoldt	104	109	102	104	104.8
	Nick Dal Santo	89	78	81	102	87.5

*

DHF Thoughts: A legit blockbuster for this Friday nights game, huge challenge for the young Blues to try and establish themselves, and a slight test for St Kilda.  It is also a big game for DT players, Lenny Hayes his firing on all guns at the moment, and he is right at home at Etihad averaging 124 there over his last few matches.  The Saints are just stacked with weapons though, with Goddard looking to sharpen up after last weeks dismal match and Montagna continuing to play as good football as any mid in the comp.  The Blues have the same usual suspects in Murph, Gibbsy and Juddy keying their attack.

Go with Hayes!

Western Bulldogs vs Port Adelaide (Gold Coast)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Western Bulldogs
	Daniel Cross	80	111	88	88	91.8
	Matthew Boyd	99	118	99	99	103.8
	Daniel Giansiracusa	104	100	89	89	95.5

Port Adelaide
	Kane Cornes	86	105	96	96	95.8

*

DHF Thoughts: The Doggies are looking like the team that went to the prelims last year, and the typical run from a wide variety of little guns is still their staple.  Meanwhile one half of the Cornes attack is still gunning for Port, and if you are looking value for money upgrade in the middle you cannot do much better than Kane right now.

You are gambling if your captain is in this game.

Hawthorn vs Brisbane (Aurora)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Hawthorn
	Brad Sewell	116	88	96	111	102.7
	Sam Mitchell	105	107	98	99	102.3
	Jordan Lewis	103	88	104	96	0.0
Brisbane
	Nah…Rich is a stud but he isn’t a captain yet!

*

DHF Thoughts: Buddy…you make me want to VOMIT!  Ahh go Sewell in this one if you must.

Richmond vs West Coast (Etihad)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Richmond
	Shane Tuck	115	90	111	96	103.0
	Joel Bowden	76	99	107	95	94.3
	Brett Deledio	86	69	75	89	79.7
	Daniel Jackson	103	42	111	93	87.1

West Coast
	Dean Cox	112	108	109	113	110.5
	Matthew Priddis	77	86	126	98	96.8

*

DHF Thoughts: Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui, Nick Naitanui

Did I say I am pumped?  Did I mention Nick Naitanui is debuting?  Do you know the future is upon us?  Did I mention you shouldnt use him as your DT captain unless you are crazy as bat shit?

Go with old faithful Dean Cox for a captain.

Adelaide vs North Melbourne (AAMI)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Adelaide
	Tyson Edwards	119	80	88	104	97.7
	Scott Thompson	98	95	106	95	98.6

North Melbourne
	Absolutely fuckin NOTHING!

*

DHF Thoughts: Tyson Edwards, 166…JESUS!  I’d still skip this game though, I mean he can’t match that score again,  right?  Riiiiiiiiggggghhhhhht??

Essendon vs Melbourne (Etihad)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Essendon
	Brent Stanton	82	76	85	99	85.6

Melbourne
	Colin Sylvia	123	102	75	93	98.1

*

DHF Thoughts: Sylvia is starting to live up to all the Demon fans expecations over the last few weeks, averaging a monstrous 123 DT points.  I wouldn’t run the risk of a captain in this match, but keep an eye on some of the Demon guns, especially for your team next year.

Sydney vs Collingwood (ANZ)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Sydney
	Jude Bolton	109	91	105	103	102.0
	Adam Goodes	110	109	109.5	95	105.9

Collingwood
	Dane Swan	136	110	98	120	115.9
	Scott Pendlebury	119	90	79	110	99.4
	Alan Didak	103	83	93	91	92.4

*

DHF Thoughts: When will someone realise that Dane Swan can actually hurt you when he is getting 30+ touches???  How many wins does he need to help orchestrate for the Pies?  When will opposition coaches start help my DT by trying to shut this bloke down cos I don’t have him in my fucking team!  If I see one more moronic coach try and apply the Priddis tactic to Dane Swan I am going to show up the ground and hurl my remote at him, rather than smashing another one against my TV.

So yeah, go with Swan!

Fremantle vs Geelong (Subiaco)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Fremantle
	Matthew Pavlich	100	102	108	92	100.6

Geelong
	Gary Ablett	132	84	126	124	116.5
	Joel Corey	107	121	92	106	106.4
	Jimmy Bartel	109	101	101	116	106.8
	Steve Johnson	106	104	89	103	100.6
	Paul Chapman	90	87	101	107	96.3
	Joel Selwood	109	97	89	102	99.3

*

DHF Thoughts: Just a loaded, loaded Cats team, as we have come to expect. After not appearing to get out of 2nd gear against the Eagles you can expect then to come out strong against Freo in their second trip Subiaco in three weeks. And one man in particular loves it out West, that is right, the GABLETT! Averaging 126 at subie, he will also escape his usual tag that has kept him to just 84 points per against Freo recently (note last time they met he had 60 by half time before sitting with an injury).

Go the GABLETT if you can stomach waiting to the last game of the second week in the split round.

DHF Top 4 Captains for Round 12 (brought to you from by the new revolutionary Scoring Predictor):

Gary Ablett 116.5
Dane Swan 115.9
Dean Cox 110.5
Lenny Hayes 112.7
Leigh Montagna 114.2

DHF Captain Round 12 – Gary Ablett
My personal Captain Round 12 – Back to my old faithful Dean Cox (hopefully big NAIT doesn’t take too many point off him) – lock and load!

Who are you going with this week?