DHF Dream Team Captains – Round 13

B..I..T..  After a one week break on the captains thanks to the split round (probably needed it more than the players, been seeing DT scores in my sleep of late).  It is tough remembering back to my round 12 captains, but let’s just take a quick look at how things panned out:

Gary Ablett (76 scored, 116.5 predicted)
Dane Swan (127 scored, 115.9 predicted)
Leigh Montagna (137 scored, 114.2 predicted)
Lenny Hayes (135 scored, 112.7 predicted)

All in all some solid results apart from ol Gaz.  But to be honest I am always putting stabbing my GABLETT voodoo doll with a knife through the ankles, hammies and acl’s because he isn’t in my squad…so read it and weep suckers!

The DHF Score Predictor average has plummeted to 114.5 thanks to GABLETT
Meanwhile my personal average has gone up to 118.7 thanks to my new man Montagna!
This has me narrowly losing the GABLETT test as Gaz is averaging 119.5.

Let’s hit round 13′s games:

Essendon vs Carlton (MCG)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Essendon
	Brent Stanton	92	90	106	99	96.8
	Jason Winderlich	103	67	97	97	90.8

Carlton
	Bryce Gibbs	86	67	97	105	88.7
	Marc Murphy	103	96	104	104	101.7
	Chris Judd	87	96	116	98	99.2

*
A blockbuster this Friday night, full house at the G, and finally a game between these two sides that really means something when looking towards the finals.  Gibbs form has been very down over the last few weeks so I’d lay off him.  Look for Judd to step up this round, he came to the Blues for these type of Home and Away matches, and with Carlton sniffing a possible top four spot you can bet Juddy will top the 100 point mark.

Collingwood vs Fremantle (MCG)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Collingwood
	Dane Swan	143	115	128	120	126.5
	Leon Davis	99	87	78	102	91.5
	Alan Didak	116	74	93	98	95.2

Fremantle
	Matthew Pavlich	96	109	105	95	101.3

*
Dane Swan has clearly been the premo pickup of the season this year.  Not really touching the $500k mark to start like some of his counter parts (Gaz/Bartel) and averaging a league best 120 he is in career best form, and should be a bigger lock as captain than the GABLETT if you are lucky enough to have both. 

Another great pickup for those who had the foresight to trade him in over the last two weeks is Didak who is back in more than just full force.  Featuring a double ended dildo attack, that is, a ton of touches over the ground as well as being one of the best offensive weapons in the game, you can expect his gigantic scores to keep rolling in.

Adelaide vs Sydney (AAMI)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Adelaide
	Tyson Edwards	113	87	95	103	99.5
	Scott Thompson	114	71	115	97	99.3

Sydney
	Jude Bolton	104	92	111	103	102.4
	Adam Goodes	106	51	66	94	79.1
	Brett Kirk	116	75	115	97	100.8

*
Three Sydney players on the Captain short list??  What the…?  I know what you are thinking, I’ve been drinking and internetting again.  With maybe some exotic mushrooms mixed in.  Well not tonight, really I just wanted to put those three in to say NO CHANCE I WOULD PICK ANY OF THEM AS CAPTAIN!!!  But I am sure this will be an exciting game though… pfft

West Coast vs Hawthorn (Subiaco)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
West Coast
	Dean Cox	105	119	111	112	111.8
	Matthew Priddis	101	127	93	102	105.8

Hawthorn
	Brad Sewell	109	109	118	109	111.1
	Sam Mitchell	102	114	124	102	110.4

*
The Big Cox might be out, supposedly, again.  But if he isn’t you can expect him to go to town on the bag of arse the Hawks are serving up in the ruck at the moment.  Actually if Coxy doesn’t play it might not be a bad idea to lock in big Naitanui as you captain this week.  Oh yeah Naitanui, did I mention he is playing in this game?  NAAAAAAAAAAITANUIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII!!!

Brisbane vs Melbourne (GABBA)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Brisbane
	Nah…Rich is a stud but he isn’t a captain yet!

Melbourne
Sylvia, Green, Bruce, Davey…blah blah blah…Dee’s just stink!

Geelong vs Port Adelaide (Skilled)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
Geelong
	Gary Ablett	118	107	111	120	113.9
	Joel Corey	121	124	104	108	114.3
	Jimmy Bartel	103	89	128	116	109.0
	Steve Johnson	104	96	115	108	105.8
	Paul Chapman	105	102	91	110	102.1
	Joel Selwood	97	90	106	98	97.8

Port Adelaide
	Kane Cornes	110	98	88	99	98.8

*
This one is just loaded.  Evey time the Cats play this occurs, funny that.  The GABLETT wasn’t himself last week and there are some rumours flying about that he is avoiding kicking the thing to save his groin, which is probably smart if you are a Cats fan and concerned about Gaz’s fitness as the season goes on.  If you are DT coach you are tearing your hair out, especially when he isn’t getting those little handballs back for a nice cheap 1-2.  That said after a down game the GABLETT usually comes back very hard, and if you don’t want to chance that there are still about 1232495 players on the Cats who you can expect 100 points from week to week.

North Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs (MCG)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
North Melbourne
Absolutely fuckin NOTHING!

Western Bulldogs
	Daniel Cross	95	92	104	91	95.5
	Matthew Boyd	92	105	118	100	103.6

*
I’d stay away from this one, but remember to keep an eye on Cross who might be starting to find his DT feet this year.

St Kilda vs Richmond (Etihad)

		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
St Kilda
	Leigh Montagna	129	88	123	117	114.3
	Lenny Hayes	120	79	120	113	107.9
	Brednan Goddard	96	74	84	103	89.3
	Nick Riewoldt	109	91	108	106	103.5
	Nick Dal Santo	99	88	94	103	95.9

Richmond
Nah thanks

*
In Geelong like fashion the Saints bring a loaded captain potential game, with or without help from their opponents, who in this case STINK.  My main man Montagna deserves as much pimping as he can get, 129 over his last four, 117 on the season, and feels right at home in the confines of Etihad.  Sure he hasn’t dominated the Tiges in recent matches, but this year is a new year.  All in all Roo and Hayes are both great options too.

DHF Top 4 Captains for Round 13 (brought to you from by the new revolutionary Scoring Predictor): 

Dane Swan 126.5
Leigh Montagna 114.3
Joel Corey 114.3
Gary Ablett 113.9

My personal captain, sticking with the MON- you cant – TAG me…lock and load!

What are everyones choices this week?