DHF Dream Team Captains – Round 5

WOOOOO, we are over the hump day and the downhill run to this weekends games has begun. It is time for the weekly captains look, tomorrow teams come out, the Footy Show hits and then Friday we are finalising our teams. A great feeling all round. Another great feeling is my top 4 all nailing over the 100 mark in round 4.

Jimmy Bartel (118.6 projected, 111 scored)
Joel Corey (110.5 projected, 115 scored)
Kane Cornes (110.2 projected, 103 scored)
Leigh Montanga (107.3 projected, 119 scored)

Sure I missed the GABLETT”s record equaling performance (155), but as Calvin said in his weekly captains review; you can’t ask for much better than several tips being offered all cracking the ton. And I go down with rest of you having Jimmy as my personal captain (not many weeks you are angry with a captain score of 111). Anyways

DHF’s captain average is now at 118 (based on the highest predicted scorer each week);
My personal captain average is at 123 (based on captain selected in my DT);

Let’s hit round 5 up:

Port Adelaive vs St Kilda (AAMI)

Port Adelaide		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
	Chad Cornes	109.2	107.3	87.0	109.2	103.2
	Kane Cornes	101.2	120.3	88.0	101.2	102.7
	Steven Salopek	99.5	105.0	93.5	99.5	99.4
	Danyle Pearce	100.2	24.0	100.8	100.2	81.3
	Travis Boak	98.5	92.5	87.8	98.5	94.3

St Kilda
	Nick Dal Santo	118.0	65.7	86.7	118.0	97.1
	Brendon Goddard	100.2	86.0	85.3	100.2	92.9
	Leigh Montagna	119.8	104.0	107.3	119.8	112.7
	Luke Ball	100.3	82.3	76.3	98.0	89.2
	Nick Riewoldt	87.0	57.0	63.7	87.0	73.7

*
Very busy game for the Score Predictor (and myself!), not to mention a great kickout to the week with Port coming in fresh off a huge win over the reigning premiers and the Saints making their second Friday night trip to SA already this year (oh and bringing in that undefeated record).  As for the captains, the Cornes are strong options as usual partiularly Kane who has destroyed the Saints in the past (120).

From the Saints all everything Leigh Montagna is one of the class picks of the round, wiht their other big scorers struggling in the past against Port and at AAMI.  Montagna has been out of his mind so far this season and is looking to step up into a no-brainer captain option similar to some of those boys down at Geelong.

DHF Tip: Leigh Montagna

Essendon vs Collingwood (MCG)

Essendon		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
	Brent Stanton	100.2	94.25	98.75	100.2	98.4

Collingwood
	Dane Swan	109.0	85.3	119.0	109.0	105.6
	Josh Fraser	115.5	80.0	115.0	115.5	106.5
	Tarkyn Lockyer	109.8	96.3	102.7	109.8	104.6

*
ANZAC day.  Blockbuster.  100 thou at the G.  And I will be there watching from where the paratroopers enter during the pregame festivities (yes the seats are that bad).  After last weeks performance against North I am completely writing off the Dons in this one and moving straight to Collingwood.  Swan is a usual suspect, while Fraser and Tark have topped all expectations this year and should go for big scores again this week.  A sleeper for anyone wanting to play a little Russian roulette is Travis Cloke who has just destroyed the Bombers in recent matches (115 over the last 3 matches).

DHF Tip: Josh Fraser

Hawthorn vs West Coast (AURORA)

Hawthorn		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
	Sam Mitchell	77.2	72.0	80.0	77.2	76.6
	Lance “Buddy/Emu” Franklin	86.2	61.7	107.5	86.2	85.4
	Brad Sewell	98.0	103.0	78.5	98.0	94.4

West Coast
	Dean Cox	109.5	103.3	90.0	109.5	103.1
	Matthew Priddis	98.8	119.0	99.3	98.8	104.0
	David Wirrpanda	92.0	51.0	51.0	112.0	76.5

*
Remember the days when Hawthorn seemed to be pumping out the DT scores we coaches love?  Well they are a distant memory right now, with the Hawks miserable play has come miserable DT scores.  Buddy EMU has been locked down by the Eagles in recent times, and despite his love for Aurora it will be tough going against the likes of Glass and E-Mac.

Cox and Priddis are doing their usual thing for the Eagles, but there are certainly better options this week.

DHF Tip: Don’t roll the dice on Panda!

Fremantle vs Sydney (Subiaco)

Fremantle		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
	- yuk again

Sydney
	Darren Jolly	103.5	51.0	78.0	103.5	84.0

*
This will be a familiar theme for Fremantle this year unless Pav can get back to his typical self.  As for Sydney you know my feelings, and for all the Sydney fans who have been emailing about my constant hate in the captains post, you actually got one player reviewed this week so shut it down for a while.

DHF Tip: Don’t be stupid!

Kangaroos vs Richmond (Eithad)

Kangaroos		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
	- still squat

Richmond
	Matthew Richardson	117.2	89.0	112.8	117.2	109.0
	Joel Bowden	100.0	84.0	87.5	100.0	92.9

*
From a DT perspective the Kangas style of play last week felt like a bolt of lightening hitting my penis, from a football enjoyment perspective it felt like 2hrs of electroshock therapy.  Despite some big scores last week, including Harvey finally joining the party (131).  That said I am still not sold on bringing Harvey in as a cash fowl yet, let along making him my captain.

For the Tigers it is the usual big boy Richo who has shown even more consistent form so far this year than 2008.  You cannot go wrong with the big man.

DHF Tip: Richo

Geelong vs Brisbane (Skilled)

Geelong		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
	Gary Ablett	123.2	109.0	100.8	123.2	114.0
	Jimmy “James” Bartel	112.5	114.0	121.5	112.5	115.1
	Joel Corey	101.8	97.0	109.8	101.8	102.6
	Joel Selwood	92.8	93.0	92.0	92.8	92.7
	Steve Johnson	111.2	93.0	111.8	111.2	106.8
	Paul Chapman	106.2	92.0	85.5	106.2	97.5

Brisbane
	- nothing much unless you are ready to roll the dice with Dalziell who hasn’t played Geelong yet

*
Geelong have enough DT’ers for the two of these teams, which is lucky because Brisbane are bringing sweet fuck all to the table this year.  The GABLETT will return to the top 4 this week and Jimmy continues going gangbusters making it the third time this year he has had the highest predicted score.  Steven Johno isn’t too shabby either.

DHF Tip: Tempting the football gods again tipping against Ablett, go Bartel!

Western Bulldogs vs Carlton (Etihad)

Western Bulldogs		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
	Daniel Cross	102.8	101.0	93.0	102.8	99.9

Carlton
	Marc Murphy	100.2	93.0	103.3	100.2	99.2
	Bryce Gibbs	109.8	73.0	120.5	109.8	103.3
	Chris Judd	105.0	102.0	103.3	105.0	103.8

*
Both teams will be hungry in this one, and with the free flowing styles through the middle I’d expect a lot of big DT scores.  The Bulldogs haven’t inspired much confidence this year as far as consistent scores, while Gibbs and Judd look the goods for the Blues.  Lookout for my boyee Gibbsy who has made a home for himself at Etihad.

DHF Tip: Going against the predictor on this one, Bryce Gibbs.

Melbourne vs Adelaide (MCG)

Melbourne		Last 4	Recent Ave against opp	Recent Ave at Ground	Season Ave	Predicted Score
	Cameron Bruce	101.5	107.0	96.0	101.5	101.5

Adelaide
	- to be honest not much on offer, maybe check out Tyson Edwards but there is plenty better

*
Cameron is getting a popular push this week with Green out leaving an extra 30 touches for others, although it might just mean less of it for Melbourne.  I’d be weary, but if you are going for something different he might be a good choice.

DHF Tip: Cameron Bruce

DHF Top 4 Captains for Round 5 (brought to you from by the new revolutionary Scoring Predictor):

Jimmy Bartel 115.1
Gary Ablett 114.0
Leigh Montagna 112.7
Matthew Richardson 109.0

DHF Captain Round 5 – Jimmy Bartel
My personal Captain Round 5 – Jimmy Bartel…here we go again – lock and load!

Who are you going with this week?